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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
BMV:RCL

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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
BMV:RCL
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Price: 4 961.0098 MXN -4.15% Market Closed
Market Cap: Mex$67.5B

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jul 19, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one RCL stock is 108 411.4121 MXN. Compared to the current market price of 4 961.0098 MXN, the stock is Undervalued by 95%.

RCL DCF Value
108 411.4121 MXN
Undervaluation 95%
DCF Value
Price Mex$4 961.0098
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
108 411.4121
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 108 411.4121 MXN

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 22.5B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 62B USD. The total present value equals 84.4B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
Hide DCF Settings
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 84.4B USD
Equity Value 84.4B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 13.6m
Value per Share 6 202.0259 USD
USD / MXN Exchange Rate 17.48
RCL DCF Value 108 411.4121 MXN
Undervalued by 95%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
84.4B MXN
/
Number of Shares
13.6m
=
DCF Value
108 411.4121 MXN

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
20.3B 28.4B
Net Income
4.7B 6.6B

What is the DCF value of one RCL stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one RCL stock is 108 411.4121 MXN. Compared to the current market price of 4 961.0098 MXN, the stock is Undervalued by 95%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 84.4B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 108 411.4121 MXN per share.

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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

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