MTG Co Ltd Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - MTG Co Ltd - Alpha Spread

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Price: 7 800 JPY 1.69% Market Closed

Market Cap: ¥313.4B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for MTG Co Ltd (7806) under the Base Case is 5 022.35 JPY. Compared with the current market price of 7 800 JPY, the stock appears Overvalued by 36% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

Both DCF and multiples point to overvaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

Intrinsic Value

Overvaluation 36%

Intrinsic Value

Price ¥7 800

Bear Case

Base Case

Bull Case

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20% below Intrinsic Value ¥4 017.88

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Current Price ¥7 800

Intrinsic Value ¥5 022.35

Margin of Safety 20% ¥4 017.88

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History Conclusion

Current Valuation

Average Value Growth

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Fundamental Analysis

Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021 Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023 Mar 2024 Jun 2024 Sep 2024 Dec 2024 Mar 2025 Jun 2025 Sep 2025 Dec 2025

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for MTG Co Ltd (7806) under the Base Case is 5 022.35 JPY.

Compared with the current market price of 7 800 JPY, the stock appears Overvalued by 36% .

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