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Commonwealth Bank of Australia
OTC:CBAUF

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Commonwealth Bank of Australia
OTC:CBAUF
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Price: 124.08 USD Market Closed
Market Cap: $207.6B

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 10, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one CBAUF stock is 62 USD. Compared to the current market price of 124.08 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 50%.

CBAUF DCF Value
62 USD
Overvaluation 50%
DCF Value
Price $124.08
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
62
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 62 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 46.5B AUD. The present value of the terminal value is 98.5B AUD. The total present value equals 145B AUD.
Operating Model
Equity Model: Bank
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
Hide DCF Settings
Save

DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 145B AUD
Equity Value 145B AUD
/ Shares Outstanding 1.7B
Value per Share 86.68 AUD
AUD / USD Exchange Rate 0.7153
CBAUF DCF Value 62 USD
Overvalued by 50%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
145B USD
/
Number of Shares
1.7B
=
DCF Value
62 USD

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
30.8B 38.2B
Net Income
11.2B 11.9B

What is the DCF value of one CBAUF stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one CBAUF stock is 62 USD. Compared to the current market price of 124.08 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 50%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Commonwealth Bank of Australia's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 145B AUD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 62 USD per share.

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