VST Relative Valuation - Vistra Corp

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Price: 163.62 USD 3.13% Market Closed

Market Cap: $55.4B

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one VST stock under the Base Case scenario is 181.8 USD. Compared to the current market price of 163.62 USD, Vistra Corp is Undervalued by 10%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

What is Relative Valuation?

How is Relative Value calculated?

VST Relative Value

Base Case

Undervaluation 10%

Relative Value

Price

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

Valuation Multiples

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Multiples Across Competitors

All Multiples

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

Forward Multiples

			Market Cap	P/S	P/E	EV/EBITDA	EV/EBIT
US		Vistra Corp NYSE:VST	55.4B USD	3.2	57.7	14.4	34.5
SA		ACWA Power Co SAU:2082	184.5B SAR	24.9	99.6	64.7	80.2
IN		NTPC Ltd NSE:NTPC	3.7T INR	2	15.2	10	15.2
CN		CGN Power Co Ltd SZSE:003816	214.1B CNY	2.5	22.8	17.5	17.5
IN		Adani Power Ltd NSE:ADANIPOWER	2.7T INR	4.9	23.4	14.7	19.1
CN		China National Nuclear Power Co Ltd SSE:601985	183.5B CNY	2.2	21.3	20.7	20.7
TH	G	Gulf Energy Development PCL SET:GULF	836.6B THB	6.9	39.1	44.6	53.3
DE		Uniper SE XETRA:UN0	14.2B EUR	0.2	-44.1	3.3	9.8
CN		SDIC Power Holdings Co Ltd SSE:600886	111.2B CNY	2.1	17	13	13
CN		Huaneng Power International Inc SSE:600011	106.5B CNY	0.5	9.2	11.7	11.7
US		Talen Energy Corp NASDAQ:TLN	14.9B USD	5.8	-68.2	60.6	-724.9

				Revenue Growth	P/S to Growth
US		Vistra Corp NYSE:VST	Average P/S: 5 3.2	13%	0.2
SA		ACWA Power Co SAU:2082	24.9	N/A	N/A
IN		NTPC Ltd NSE:NTPC	2	7%	0.3
CN		CGN Power Co Ltd SZSE:003816	2.5	4%	0.6
IN		Adani Power Ltd NSE:ADANIPOWER	4.9	11%	0.4
CN		China National Nuclear Power Co Ltd SSE:601985	2.2	9%	0.2
TH	G	Gulf Energy Development PCL SET:GULF	6.9	7%	1
DE		Uniper SE XETRA:UN0	0.2	3%	0.1
CN		SDIC Power Holdings Co Ltd SSE:600886	2.1	2%	1
CN		Huaneng Power International Inc SSE:600011	0.5	-1%	N/A
US		Talen Energy Corp NASDAQ:TLN	5.8	27%	0.2

				Earnings Growth	PEG
US		Vistra Corp NYSE:VST	Average P/E: 33.9 57.7	15%	3.8
SA		ACWA Power Co SAU:2082	99.6	N/A	N/A
IN		NTPC Ltd NSE:NTPC	15.2	6%	2.5
CN		CGN Power Co Ltd SZSE:003816	22.8	2%	11.4
IN		Adani Power Ltd NSE:ADANIPOWER	23.4	8%	2.9
CN		China National Nuclear Power Co Ltd SSE:601985	21.3	6%	3.6
TH	G	Gulf Energy Development PCL SET:GULF	39.1	20%	2
DE		Uniper SE XETRA:UN0	Negative Multiple: -44.1	26%	N/A
CN		SDIC Power Holdings Co Ltd SSE:600886	17	7%	2.4
CN		Huaneng Power International Inc SSE:600011	9.2	19%	0.5
US		Talen Energy Corp NASDAQ:TLN	Negative Multiple: -68.2	N/A	N/A

				EBITDA Growth	EV/EBITDA to Growth
US		Vistra Corp NYSE:VST	Average EV/EBITDA: 25 14.4	7%	2.1
SA		ACWA Power Co SAU:2082	64.7	N/A	N/A
IN		NTPC Ltd NSE:NTPC	10	9%	1.1
CN		CGN Power Co Ltd SZSE:003816	17.5	21%	0.8
IN		Adani Power Ltd NSE:ADANIPOWER	14.7	12%	1.2
CN		China National Nuclear Power Co Ltd SSE:601985	20.7	29%	0.7
TH	G	Gulf Energy Development PCL SET:GULF	44.6	11%	4.1
DE		Uniper SE XETRA:UN0	3.3	-30%	N/A
CN		SDIC Power Holdings Co Ltd SSE:600886	13	28%	0.5
CN		Huaneng Power International Inc SSE:600011	11.7	37%	0.3
US		Talen Energy Corp NASDAQ:TLN	60.6	98%	0.6

				EBIT Growth	EV/EBIT to Growth
US		Vistra Corp NYSE:VST	Average EV/EBIT: 27.5 34.5	12%	2.9
SA		ACWA Power Co SAU:2082	80.2	N/A	N/A
IN		NTPC Ltd NSE:NTPC	15.2	9%	1.7
CN		CGN Power Co Ltd SZSE:003816	17.5	1%	17.5
IN		Adani Power Ltd NSE:ADANIPOWER	19.1	12%	1.6
CN		China National Nuclear Power Co Ltd SSE:601985	20.7	7%	3
TH	G	Gulf Energy Development PCL SET:GULF	53.3	10%	5.3
DE		Uniper SE XETRA:UN0	9.8	-33%	N/A
CN		SDIC Power Holdings Co Ltd SSE:600886	13	1%	13
CN		Huaneng Power International Inc SSE:600011	11.7	4%	2.9
US		Talen Energy Corp NASDAQ:TLN	Negative Multiple: -724.9	N/A	N/A

Vistra Corp
NYSE:VST

Relative Value

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Vistra Corp Competitors

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Vistra Corp NYSE:VST

Relative Value

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VST Competitors Multiples Vistra Corp Competitors

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Vistra Corp
NYSE:VST

VST Competitors Multiples
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