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Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
F:FVJ

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Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
F:FVJ
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Price: 12.218 EUR 0.99% Market Closed
Market Cap: €37.6B

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 6, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one FVJ stock is 7.909 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 12.218 EUR, the stock is Overvalued by 35%.

FVJ DCF Value
7.909 EUR
Overvaluation 35%
DCF Value
Price €12.218
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
7.909
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 7.909 EUR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 8.8B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 20.1B USD. The total present value equals 28.9B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 28.9B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 4.7B USD
+ Investments 254m USD
Firm Value 33.9B USD
- Debt 5.5B USD
- Minority Interest -32m USD
Equity Value 28.5B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 3.1B
Value per Share 9.247 USD
USD / EUR Exchange Rate 0.8553
FVJ DCF Value 7.909 EUR
Overvalued by 35%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
17.1B 16.7B
Operating Income
5.8B 3.8B
FCFF
2.4B 2.6B

What is the DCF value of one FVJ stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one FVJ stock is 7.909 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 12.218 EUR, the stock is Overvalued by 35%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Fortescue Metals Group Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 28.9B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 7.909 EUR per share.

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