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China Merchants Port Holdings Co Ltd
XMUN:CPM

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China Merchants Port Holdings Co Ltd
XMUN:CPM
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Price: 1.723 EUR -0.23% Market Closed
Market Cap: €7.2B

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 7, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one CPM stock is 4.218 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 1.723 EUR, the stock is Undervalued by 59%.

CPM DCF Value
4.218 EUR
Undervaluation 59%
DCF Value
Price €1.723
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
4.218
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 4.218 EUR

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 19B HKD. The present value of the terminal value is 51.8B HKD. The total present value equals 70.8B HKD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 70.8B HKD
+ Cash & Equivalents 11.7B HKD
+ Investments 111.5B HKD
Firm Value 194B HKD
- Debt 14.5B HKD
- Minority Interest 16.6B HKD
Equity Value 162.9B HKD
/ Shares Outstanding 4.2B
Value per Share 38.81 HKD
HKD / EUR Exchange Rate 0.1087
CPM DCF Value 4.218 EUR
Undervalued by 59%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
13.9B 16.9B
Operating Income
5.5B 6.5B
FCFF
4.4B 5B

What is the DCF value of one CPM stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one CPM stock is 4.218 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 1.723 EUR, the stock is Undervalued by 59%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, China Merchants Port Holdings Co Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 70.8B HKD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 4.218 EUR per share.

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