XPS Pensions Group PLC
LSE:XPS

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XPS Pensions Group PLC Logo
XPS Pensions Group PLC
LSE:XPS
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Price: 310 GBX 0.16% Market Closed
Market Cap: £645.9m

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 7, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one XPS stock is 427.9 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 310 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 28%.

XPS DCF Value
427.9 GBX
Undervaluation 28%
DCF Value
Price GBX310
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
427.9
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 427.9 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 286.2m GBP. The present value of the terminal value is 656.7m GBP. The total present value equals 942.9m GBP.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Show All DCF Settings
Terminal Growth
%
Hide DCF Settings
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 942.9m GBP
+ Cash & Equivalents 14.7m GBP
Firm Value 957.6m GBP
- Debt 66.1m GBP
Equity Value 891.6m GBP
/ Shares Outstanding 208.4m
Value per Share 4.28 GBP
GBP / GBX Exchange Rate 1
XPS DCF Value 427.9 GBX
Undervalued by 28%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
288.4m 375.7m
Operating Income
72.6m 96.5m
FCFF
65m 79.3m

What is the DCF value of one XPS stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one XPS stock is 427.9 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 310 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 28%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, XPS Pensions Group PLC's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 942.9m GBP.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 427.9 GBX per share.

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